Jim Cramer’s top 10 things to watch in the stock market Friday

My top 10 things to watch Friday, Dec. 8

1. U.S. stocks are lower in midmorning trading, with S&P 500 futures down 0.3% and on track to break a five-week winning streak. But the Nasdaq Composite, down 0.55% in early trading, looks set to post a sixth-consecutive week of gains. Bond yields tick up slightly, with that of the 10-year Treasury hovering just below 4.2%.

2. Oil prices pare some of their recent losses, climbing by more than 2% Thursday morning. West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. oil benchmark, is now back above $70 a barrel but is still down for seven-straight weeks.

3. Club holding Honeywell International reaches a deal to buy Carrier Global‘s security business for $4.95 billion. Carrier will reportedly use the money from Honeywell to accelerate its debt paydown. The companies expect the all-cash transaction to close before the end of the third quarter of 2024.

4. Club holding Broadcom reports mixed fiscal fourth-quarter results, missing on revenue but delivering strong profits. And tailwinds from artificial intelligence and the company’s acquisition of VMware should keep profits growing and more than offset some of the cyclical parts of the semiconductor business.

5. Mizuho raises its price target on Broadcom to $1,000 a share, up from $960, while maintaining a buy rating on the stock. The firm cites the semiconductor firm’s strong guidance, along with its industry-leading margins and free cash flow.

6. India’s Tata Group plans to build one of the country’s biggest iPhone assembly plants, with roughly 20 assembly lines and 50,000 workers, Bloomberg reports. The new factory would help Club holding Apple in its efforts to diversify its supply chain and expand its presence in India.

7. Morgan Stanley raises its price target on Apple to $220 a share, up from $210, while reiterating an overweight rating on the stock. The firm says the macroeconomic backdrop is still a challenge for Apple, but argues that excitement around Edge AI, services, and gross margin strength “reignites the bull case.”

8. Bernstein calls Tesla a “best idea,” outlining the short case for the electric-vehicle maker in 2024. “In our view, Tesla’s key challenge is that it has a demand problem due to its narrow (and expensive) product family of essentially two vehicles,” Bernstein analysts write. The firm has an underperform rating on Tesla stock, with a price target on $150 a share.

9. Mizuho raises its price target on DoorDash to $120 a share, up from $105, while reiterating a buy rating on the stock. The firm expects continued margin expansion, as the food-delivery platform continues to gain market share.

10. Lululemon Athletica delivers strong third-quarter results, while reporting a positive start to the holiday shopping season. The athletic-apparel retailer receives a slew of price-target raises Friday from Wall Street firms — including Barclays, which goes to $530 a share, up from $480, with a buy rating on the stock.

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Top Wall Street analysts say these stocks have the best growth prospects

CrowdStrike IPO at the Nasdaq exchange June 12, 2019.

Source: Nasdaq

While macro uncertainty continues to distract investors, it is prudent to focus on companies that are well-positioned to navigate challenges with their solid execution and deliver attractive growth over the long term by capitalizing on secular trends. 

Here are five such stocks chosen by Wall Street’s top analysts, according to TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance.

Zscaler

First, we will look at cybersecurity solutions provider Zscaler (ZS). Earlier this month, the company reported its fiscal fourth-quarter results and outlook, which topped Wall Street’s expectations. That said, management cautioned that deals are taking longer to close due to a challenging macro backdrop.

Praising Zscaler’s performance, TD Cowen analyst Shaul Eyal said that the rising demand for the company’s Zero Trust solutions and disciplined spending drove the fourth-quarter outperformance.

The analyst noted that over the past seven quarters, Zscaler’s annual recurring revenue (ARR) has doubled to $2 billion from $1 billion. Other interesting points that the analyst focused on included the company’s large deals, a strong pipeline, and growing federal contracts. (Zscaler serves 12 of the 15 U.S. cabinet-level agencies.)  

Further, the company continues to invest in AI and sees huge growth potential for its AI-powered features. It provides data protection capabilities to prevent the leakage of sensitive data through generative AI.  

Overall, the analyst reiterated a buy rating on ZS stock with a price target of $195, saying, “Investments in AI, Cloud and go-to-market are set to accelerate growth.”

Eyal holds the 9th position among more than 8,500 analysts tracked on TipRanks. In all, 70% of his ratings have been profitable, with each generating an average return of 25.5%. (See Zscaler’s Financial Statements on TipRanks)

CrowdStrike Holdings

Another cybersecurity stock in this week’s list is CrowdStrike (CRWD), which recently reported upbeat fiscal second-quarter results and issued solid guidance.

In reaction to the impressive performance, Needham analyst Alex Henderson raised his price target for CRWD stock to $200 from $170 and reiterated a buy rating on the stock. The analyst noted that the company achieved strong growth in new products under its Identity, Cloud, and LogScale Security Information and Event Management (SIEM) offerings.

The analyst also highlighted management’s commentary about the company’s generative AI cybersecurity product called Charlotte AI, which they believe can immensely improve execution for customers by automating workflows. He added that the use of AI helped the company enhance its own adjusted operating margin, which increased by 472 basis points to 21.3% in the fiscal second quarter.

Henderson called CRWD one of his top recommendations in cybersecurity and said, “Crowd is taking market share with relatively stable pricing and strong new product uptake.”

The analyst also said that the company’s managed services, which are core to the Falcon Complete offering, are enjoying high demand and differentiate the platform from others like Microsoft (MSFT).    

Henderson ranks 162nd among more than 8,500 analysts tracked by TipRanks. His ratings have been profitable 58% of the time, with each rating delivering a return of 15.1%, on average. (See CrowdStrike’s Technical Analysis on TipRanks) 

Chipotle Mexican Grill

Next up is Mexican fast food chain Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG). Baird analyst David Tarantino, who ranks 357 out of more than 8,500 analysts on TipRanks, said that CMG remains his top idea for investors with a 12-month horizon.

The analyst observed that the stock has pulled back since the mixed second-quarter results due to concerns about late Q2 2023 and early Q3 traffic, subdued Q3 restaurant margin outlook, and macro factors. Nevertheless, he feels that this pullback has created an attractive opportunity to buy CMG stock based on multiple positive catalysts that could emerge in the months ahead.

“Specifically, we expect signs of strong same-store traffic momentum and further pricing actions to lead to an upward bias to EPS estimates and support robust valuation metrics on CMG heading into year-end,” said Tarantino.

Additionally, he sees the possibility of CMG accelerating its unit growth to the high end of its target of 8% to 10% annually, supported by the hiring of additional construction managers this year. Tarantino estimates that a combination of about 10% unit growth and mid-single-digit comparable sales could drive low-to-mid teens revenue growth and more than 20% EPS increase, a profile which he believes deserves a premium valuation.

Tarantino reaffirmed a buy rating on CMG stock with a price target of $2,400. His ratings have been successful 62% of the time, with each rating delivering an average return of 10%. (See CMG Hedge Fund Trading Activity on TipRanks).

Lululemon

Athletic apparel retailer Lululemon (LULU) impressed investors with its fiscal second-quarter performance and improved outlook. The company experienced strong momentum in North America and a spike in its international business, mainly due to robust sales in China.

Commenting on the 61% growth in sales from Greater China, Guggenheim analyst Robert Drbul said that he continues to believe that China holds significant growth potential for Lululemon, as the company aims to quadruple international revenues by 2026. He also highlighted that Lulu intends to open a majority of its 35 new international stores, scheduled for this year, in China. 

The analyst raised his Fiscal 2023 and 2024 earnings estimates and believes that demand for the company’s merchandise remains strong, as competitive pressures from upcoming athletic brands seem overestimated.  

Drbul maintained a buy rating on LULU and a price target of $440, justifying that the company “stands to benefit from favorable secular tailwinds (health, wellness, casualization, and fitness, including at-home).”

Drbul ranks No. 958 out of more than 8,500 analysts tracked on TipRanks. Additionally, 57% of his ratings have been profitable with an average return of 5%. (See Lululemon Insider Trading Activity on TipRanks)

Acushnet Holdings

The last stock on this week’s list is Acushnet Holdings (GOLF), a manufacturer of golf products. Tigress Financial analyst Ivan Feinseth believes that the company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing growth in golf, driven by product launches and biannual new golf ball design introductions.

The analyst highlighted that GOLF’s strong brand name continues to be a growth catalyst, as its Titleist brand golf balls remain the preferred choice of PGA and LPGA Tour players. He also noted the strong growth in Titleist golf clubs, Titleist gear, and FootJoy golf wear segments, fueled by a wide range of innovative launches, including new TSR models that rapidly emerged as the most-played model on the PGA tour.

Feinseth increased his price target for GOLF to $68 from $62 and reiterated a buy rating, while emphasizing that the company is enhancing shareholder returns through ongoing dividend increases and share repurchases.

“GOLF’s incredible brand equity, driven by its best-in-class and industry-leading product lines, including FootJoy and Titleist, are major assets and the primary drivers of its premium market valuation,” said Feinseth.  

Feinseth holds the 289th position among more than 8,500 analysts tracked on TipRanks. His ratings have been profitable 58% of the time, with each rating delivering an average return of 10.9%. (See Acushnet Stock Chart on TipRanks)

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Lululemon shares surge after reporting 24% sales growth, raising full-year guidance

Lululemon reported earnings that beat Wall Street’s estimates on the top and bottom lines Thursday and raised its full-year guidance, bolstered by improvements in China and freight costs.

Shares of the company surged more than 12% in extended trading.

Here’s how the retailer did in its fiscal first quarter compared with what Wall Street was anticipating, based on a survey of analysts compiled by Refinitiv:

  • Earnings per share: $2.28 vs. $1.98 expected
  • Revenue: $2 billion vs. $1.93 billion expected

The company’s reported net income for the three-month period that ended April 30 was $290.4 million, or $2.28 per share, compared with $190 million, or $1.48 per share, a year earlier. 

Sales rose 24% to $2 billion, up from $1.61 billion a year earlier.

China revenue alone grew 79% from the year-ago period, when the country was still reeling from Covid restrictions and roughly one-third of Lululemon’s 71 China stores were closed for a period of time.

“Our Q1 results were strong as guests responded well to our product offering in all our markets across the globe. A meaningful acceleration in our China sales trend, coupled with lower air freight, contributed to our better than planned financial performance,” finance chief Meghan Frank said in a statement. “We are pleased with our momentum heading into the second quarter and for the full year as reflected in our revised outlook for FY23.”

The retailer now expects to see full-year revenue of $9.44 billion to $9.51 billion, up from a previous range of $9.31 billion and $9.41 billion, and beating Wall Street’s projections of $9.37 billion, according to Refinitiv. It expects full-year profit of $11.74 to $11.94 per share, compared with a prior range of $11.50 to $11.72. That also topped analysts’ expectations, which called for $11.61 per share, according to Refinitiv. 

Lululemon is expecting second-quarter sales to be in the range of $2.14 billion to $2.17 billion, representing growth of about 15%. Lululemon expects diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $2.47 to $2.52 for the period. That second-quarter guidance was largely in line with Wall Street expectations, according to Refinitiv.

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Lululemon shares surge in extended trading after a strong quarterly report.

The apparel retailer, which sells high-end yoga pants, shoes and other athletic wear, saw a 24% year-over-year increase in sales, even as it lapped strong comparisons in the year-ago period, which came during an easier macroeconomic backdrop.

This time last year, Lululemon had just raised its prices, but shoppers were still flocking to its stores and filling up their digital carts. And they weren’t yet feeling the pressure of persistent inflation.

Total comparable sales, which tracks digital revenue and sales at stores open for at least 12 months, were up 14% in the quarter, which fell short of estimates of 15.1%, according to StreetAccount.

While comparable store sales outperformed expectations in the most recent quarter — jumping 13%, compared with StreetAccount estimates of 8.3% growth — direct-to-consumer revenue fell short of projections, increasing 16% from the prior-year period, compared with the 22.3% jump analysts had expected, according to StreetAccount.

While DTC revenue increased compared to last year, it represented 42% of total sales, compared to 45% in the year-ago period.

Gross margins in the quarter increased 3.6 percentage points to 57.5%, driven by a reduction in airfreight expenses. That was above the 56.7% analysts had been expecting, according to StreetAccount.

By category, women’s sales increased 22%, men’s gained 17% and accessories were up 67%.

Inventory, which has been an ongoing issue for Lululemon, was up 24% at $1.58 billion at the end of the quarter and is expected to be up 20% in the next quarter. During an earnings call, company executives insisted its inventories are in line with sales growth and said they’re “comfortable” with its position.

Still, they acknowledged Lululemon has work to do.

“We will still have opportunities … to get our inventory [turnover rates] back to historical levels. We have seen some material improvements in supply chain and lead times but not all the way back to historical positioning,” said Frank during the earnings call. “So, too soon to say when we’ll move back to those levels, but that would be the goal over the longer term.”

The company expects to open 50 net new company-operated stores in the fiscal year. Thirty to 35 of them will be in international markets, with the majority planned for China.

Discretionary spending

While the company largely caters to higher-income consumers who tend to fare better against macroeconomic pressure, retailers across the industry have cited a pullback in discretionary spending and higher-ticket items. 

During Nordstrom’s earnings call Wednesday evening, executives noted the high-end customer is “pretty resilient,” but they’ve also become more cautious.

Meanwhile, Lululemon said it has seen no changes in its customers’ shopping habits.

“In terms of our guests’ metrics, they’ve remained very strong. We’ve seen no change in our cohort behavior, in terms of frequency of purchase or engagement,” said CEO Calvin McDonald. “In addition, in quarter one, transactions by existing guests increased 22% and our transactions by new guests increased 28%.”

During the current earnings season, some analysts cautioned soft goods retailers, or those that sell items such as clothes and shoes, could see a drop in margins because of increased promotional activity and an overall pullback across the sector. 

The results on that front have been mixed so far.

Many retailers have benefited from supply chain tail winds, such as reduced freight costs, that have boosted their margins. But for some, a lot of those savings evaporated because of increased promotions and upticks in shrink, among other headwinds.

That rang true for Foot Locker, but others in the category, including Gap and Urban Outfitters, were able to hold the line on promotions and saw the benefits to their margins

Connected fitness

Last month, CNBC reported Lululemon is looking to sell its at-home fitness business Mirror and has approached competitor Hydrow as a potential buyer.

The company announced it would acquire Mirror for $500 million at the height of the at-home fitness bonanza in June 2020 in a bet that people would continue to exercise at home, even after Covid pandemic restrictions ended and gyms reopened. 

The segment has since rebranded as Lululemon Studio but it has been weighing on its balance sheet. 

During its previous fiscal quarter, the company said it took $443 million in impairment charges related to Mirror and told investors hardware sales have come in below expectations. 

Lululemon acknowledged the at-home fitness market has been under pressure.

Similar to Peloton, Lululemon has begun pivoting the segment away from being solely hardware-focused.

Recently, the company launched a new digital app for Lululemon Studio, which costs the same as Peloton’s starting membership at $12.99 a month and gives customers access to its fitness classes without the need to buy its hardware.

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