Future Market Insights shares its overview of the digital oilfield solutions market

The global digital oilfield solutions market is projected to attain a valuation of US$39.63 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach US$65.4 billion by 2033, trailing a CAGR of 5.1% during the forecast period.

The rising need to maximise the production capacity from mature wells and the surging return on investment (RoI) in the oil and gas industry is anticipated to propel sales in this market. In addition, the urgent need to lower the capital and operating expenses subject to the utilisation of smart systems and digitalised solutions is likely to drive the market.

Ongoing advancements in data collection, mobility, and analysis platforms are set to improve the overall performance and management of oil and gas platforms. Further, the rapid shift of countries toward devising a robust economic well recovery process, coupled with the declining production of oil and gas from conventional wells, might also affect the market positively.

Future Market Insights predict a comparison and review study for the dynamics and trends of the digital oilfield solutions market, which is primarily impacted by ongoing developments in data collecting, mobility, and analytic platforms. These are further expected to improve the overall performance and management of oil and gas platforms.

The market might benefit from the change in growth rates that occurs in numerous nations affected by the development of a strong economic growth outlook paired with growth impacted by oil and gas output from conventional wells.

According to Future Market Insights analysis, the change in BPS values observed in the market for digital oilfield solutions for the current estimation for the first half of 2023 as compared to the projected one for the same period is expected to be at a 17-unit increase. In comparison to H1-2022, the market is predicted to rise by 40 basis points in H1-2023 as per the current estimates.

The oil and gas sector had a period of tremendous expansion, notably in the field of deep-sea exploration and production technologies, which is one of the main justifications for this change in growth rate. Furthermore, many oil companies are attempting to boost output and enhance recovery. Further use of cutting-edge technologies like AI, ML, IoT, and automation in the oil and gas sector is anticipated to accelerate growth rates.

There are still significant barriers preventing industry expansion, including lengthy execution times, inefficient workflows, and change management at all levels. Additionally, because of continuous geopolitical concerns, changes in the price of crude oil and a shift toward sustainability are the main market restraints.

Why are companies increasing their investments in digital oilfield solutions?

Digital oilfield solutions can enhance the operational performance and decision-making process, thereby improving the RoI. It can also reduce the Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) and downtime, as well as bolster the productivity of operations. Therefore, the oil and gas industry worldwide is expected to develop novel plans to increase their investments in digital technologies to double their cost savings.

Most of the companies in this industry are likely to look for solutions to reduce non-productive time, aid recovery rates, and cut down the cost-per-barrel for surging returns. In December 2021, for instance, Baker Hughes, CEO Lorenzo Simonelli, stated at the World Petroleum Congress that the oil and gas industry is yet to realise the full potential of digitisation for achieving better efficiency. He also declared that the next generation of productivity is anticipated to come from connected smart equipment featuring digitalisation for reducing non-productive time.

The development of such technologies in the forthcoming years is projected to accelerate growth and open doors to new opportunities for key players.

Country-wise insights

Why is the US digital oilfield solutions market exhibiting exponential growth?

The ongoing upgradation of the existing technological solutions to manage and optimise oil and gas operations is set to spur the market in the United States in the assessment period. As per FMI, North America’s digital oilfield solutions market is expected to account for around 25.6% of the share in 2023. The market in this region is expected to thrive at a CAGR of 5.3% during the forecast period.

The rising domestic production and the increasing number of oilfield discoveries are expected to transform the business landscape in the United States. On the other hand, many companies are refurbishing numerous oil and gas platforms in the offshore sector by integrating machine learning and AI solutions, which might also propel the demand for digital oilfield solutions in this country.

The high demand for energy owing to a paradigm shift toward technologically advanced solutions is estimated to drive the segment. In January 2020, Baker Hughes, one of the world’s largest oil field services companies, for instance, stated that the average rig count in the United States was 804 in December 2019. This number is likely to surge in the upcoming years, thereby bolstering the market.

How is the United Kingdom digital oilfield solutions market faring?

The surging numbers of new field development and exploration activities are projected to create growth opportunities in the United Kingdom over the forecast period. Also, the demand for digital oilfield solutions in the United Kingdom is expected to rise with a CAGR of 4.8% during the forecast period. Western Europe’s digital oilfield solutions market is predicted to account for around 23.2% of the share in 2023, estimates FMI.

According to the United Kingdom government, in 2020, the country’s refineries took receipt of 8.6 million t of crude oil produced from the United Kingdom Continental Shelf (UKCS), which helped in meeting 18% of refinery demand. Hence, the rising production of crude oil in this country is anticipated to drive the demand for digital oilfield solutions in the future.

What is the demand outlook for China’s digital oilfield solutions market?

The ongoing development of smart oil fields to optimise the overall operation and management is likely to propel the market in China. The market in this region is expected to capture a CAGR of 5% during the forecast period. South East Asia (SEA) & Pacific digital oilfield solutions market is projected to generate about 12% of the share in 2023, predicts FMI.

In October 2021, for instance, China National Offshore Oil Corp, one of the largest national oil companies in the country, started operating Qinhuangdao 32-6 smart oilfield. It is going to help to make offshore gas and oil production intelligent and digital through AI, big data, IoT, and cloud computing. At the same time, it could also reduce maintenance costs by 5-10% and raise production efficiency by 30%. Such industry developments by leading players are estimated to push the demand for digital oilfield solutions in China.

Competitive landscape

The market for digital oilfield solutions is characterised by intense competition, as notable industry players are making significant investments to enhance their manufacturing capabilities. The key industry players working in the market are ABB, Emerson Electric Co., Rockwell Automation, Inc., General Electric, Siemens AG, Schneider Electric, Eaton, and Honeywell International, Inc.

Read the article online at: https://www.oilfieldtechnology.com/digital-oilfield/10012024/future-market-insights-shares-its-overview-of-the-digital-oilfield-solutions-market/

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‘Own what the Mother of All Bubbles crowd doesn’t.’ This market strategist expects stagflation and is investing for it now.

There’s always a bull market somewhere — if you can find it.

Keith McCullough encourages investors to join him in the hunt. You’ll need to be agnostic and open-minded, the CEO of investment service Hedgeye Risk Management says. If you’re wedded just to U.S. stocks, or the market’s latest darlings, you’re setting yourself up for disappointment — particularly in the hostile environment McCullough sees coming.

This coming challenge for U.S. stock investors, in a word, is stagflation, McCullough says. Stagflation — higher inflation plus slow- or no economic growth — is hardly a bullish outlook for stocks, but McCullough’s investment process looks for opportunties wherever they may be. Right now that’s led him to put money into health care, gold, Japan, India, Brazil and energy stocks, among others.

In this recent interview, which has been edited for length and clarity, McCullough takes the Federal Reserve and Chair Jerome Powell to the woodshed, offers a warning about the potential fallout from Powell’s upcoming speech at Jackson Hole, Wyo., and implores investors to discount happy talk and always watch what they do, not what they say.

MarketWatch: When we spoke in late May, you criticized the Federal Reserve for being obtuse and myopic in its response to inflation and, later, to the threat of recession. Has the Fed done anything since to give you more confidence?

McCullough: The Fed forecast of the probability of recession should be trusted as much as their “transitory” inflation forecast or a parlor game. People should not have confidence in the Fed’s forecast. The “no-landing” or “soft-landing” thesis is looking backwards. The Fed is grossly underestimating the future, doing what they always do, in looking at the recent past.

Their policy is wed to what they say. They claim they’re not going to cut interest rates until they get to their target. But any hint of the Fed arresting the tightening gives you more inflation. So there’s this perverse relationship where the Fed is the catalyst to bring back the inflation they’ve spent so much time fighting. 

Read: ‘The Fed is way late and they’ve already screwed it up.’ This stock strategist is banking on gold, silver and Treasurys to weather a recession.

MarketWatch: U.S. Inflation has come down quite signficantly over the past year. Doesn’t that show the Fed is well on the way to achieving its 2% target?

McCullough: A lot of people are peacocking and declaring victory over inflation when we’re about to have reflation that sticks. We have inflation heading back towards 3.5% and staying there.

Our inflation forecast is that it’s set to reaccelerate in the next two inflation reports, which will lead to another rate hike in September. The Fed’s view is that until they get to the 2% target they’re not done. A lot of people are really confident because inflation went from 9% to 3% that it’s getting closer to 2%, therefore the Fed is done. Given what Fed Chair Jerome Powell said, the next two inflation reports are critical in determining whether we hike rates in September. I think maybe even one in November. This is a major catalyst for the next leg down in the equity market.

The Fed is going to see inflation go higher, and they’ve already articulated to Wall Street that no matter what happens, that should constitute a rate hike. That’s a policy mistake. They’re going to continue to tighten into a slowdown. When the Fed tightens into a slowdown, things blow up.

MarketWatch: By “things blow up,” you mean the stock market.

McCullough: I don’t think the Fed cuts interest rates until the stock market crashes. The Fed is going to be tightening when the U.S. economy and corporate profits are at a low point, going into the fourth quarter. It’s not dissimilar from 1987 where all of a sudden a market that looked fine got annihilated in very short order. There are a lot of similarities to 1987 now; the market’s quick start in January, people in love with stocks. That’s a catalyst for the stock market to crash.

When the Fed has an inconvenient rule, particularly for the U.S. stock market, they just move the goal posts or change the rule. If they actually started to cut interest rates, inflation would go up faster. This is exactly what happened in the 1970s and what Powell explains is the risk of going dovish too soon – that he becomes [much-criticized former Fed chair] Arthur Burns. That’s why you had rolling recessions in the 1970s; the Fed would go dovish, devalue the U.S. dollar
and the cost of living for Americans would reflate to levels that are prohibitive.

People can’t afford reflation at the gas pump, or in their health care. It’ll be fascinating to see how Powell pivots from fighting for the people to bailing out Wall Street from another stock market crash, which will therein create the next reflation.

‘The Federal Reserve has set the table for a major event in the U.S. stock market and the credit market.’

MarketWatch: Speaking of a Powell pivot, the Fed chair speaks at Jackson Hole this week. Last year he put markets on notice for rate hikes. What do you think he’ll say this time?

Powell’s going to see inflation accelerating. I think Jackson Hole is going to be a hawkish meeting. That might be the trigger for the stock market.

Take the bond market’s word for it.  The bond market is saying the Fed is going to remain tight and seriously consider another rate hike in September. The reasons why markets crash in October during recession is that the fourth quarter is when companies realize that there’s no soft landing and they need to guide down.

The Federal Reserve has set the table for a major event in the U.S. stock market and the credit market. We’re short high-yield and junk bonds through two ETFs: iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond
and SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond
 On the equity side the best thing is to short the cyclicals; I would short the Russell 2000

MarketWatch: What’s your advice to stock investors right now about how to reposition their portfolios?

McCullough: Own what the “Mother of All Bubbles” crowd doesn’t. The things we’re most bullish on include gold
 The Fed is going to keep short term rates high and both the 10 year and 30 year go lower. Gold trades with real interest rates. I think gold can go a lot higher, towards 2,150. Our ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Shares

Also, you can be long equities and not take on the heart-attack risk that is the U.S. stock market. I’m long Japanese equities — ETFs for this include iShares MSCI Japan
and iShares MSCI Japan Small-Cap

We’re long India with iShares MSCI India
and iShares MSCI India Small-Cap
Both Japan and India are accelerating economically. Were also long Brazil iShares MSCI Brazil
which is weighted to energy. We are bullish on energy. 

MarketWatch: Clearly accelerating inflation and slowing economic growth is an unhealthy combination for both investors and consumers.

McCullough: What I’m looking for, with inflation reaccelerating, is stagflation.

Stagflation pays the rich and punishes the poor. You want to be the landlord. The prices of things people own are going to go up, and the prices of things you need to live are also going to go up. So for example, we are long energy, uranium and timber as stagflation plays. ETFs we’re using for that include Energy Select Sector SPDR
Global X Uranium
and iShares Global Timber & Forestry

One positive thing that happens from stagflation is that because it’s so hard to find real consumption growth, there’s a premium on the growth you can find.

If there is something that actually accelerates, then those stocks will work, which puts a nice premium on stock picking. You can be long anything that is accelerating because so many things are decelerating. So avoid U.S. consumer, retailers, industrials and financials, which are all decelerating. Health care is our favorite sector, which we own through the ETFs Simplify Health Care
and SPDR S&P Health Care Equipment

Instead, people are betting we’re going to go back to some crazy AI-led growth environment. Now everyone thinks everything is AI and rainbows and puppy dogs. I’m old enough to remember we were in a banking crisis in March. From an intermediate- to longer-term perspective, I don’t know why you wouldn’t want to protect yourself until this inflation cycle plays out.

Also read: Jackson Hole: Fed’s Powell could join rather than fight bond vigilantes as yields surge

More: Will August’s stock-market stumble turn into a rout? Here’s what to watch, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.

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