It was the call no-one saw coming, but the signs were there

The decision to cancel the Commonwealth Games was always going to be difficult and controversial. 

The sporting event was a key selling point for the Labor government in the regions seeking a third term.

And sport being sport it was seen as untouchable, the idea of it being cancelled seemed impossible.

But earlier this year, those working on the project realised it was massively undercooked. The budget had failed to cost security and transport, and having multiple athletes villages was also underquoted.

Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews flanked by Jeroen Weimar, Jacinta Allan and Harriet Shing speaks to media during a press conference at Parliament House on Tuesday.   (AAP: James Ross)

On late Monday afternoon, cabinet backed the premier’s plan to scrap the Games.

State cabinet’s regular meeting deliberately moved to the late afternoon with a great wall of silence enveloping the government on Monday night.

The prime minister was given “a very short heads up” just before the premier addressed the public.

So it was of little surprise that the custodians of the Games were “blindsided” by a call from Victorian officials that the 2026 Commonwealth Games in regional Victoria were off.

It had been told in June that the budget was still on track at around $3 billion.

The Games’ demise unleashed an outpouring of anger from the sports and business community, with warnings that Victoria’s international reputation had been trashed.

Melbourne’s status as a sporting mecca has been questioned.

Daniel Andrews is arguably the nation’s most formidable politician.

The decision he made would not have been made without a close eye on the politics.

Daniel Andrews speaks at press conference

Daniel Andrews announced on Tuesday that Victoria will no longer host the 2026 Commonwealth Games. (ABC News )

When Andrews fronted Victorians on Tuesday morning, it was with his usual confidence, with a cut through line about how his decision would save Victorian taxpayers billions.

“I’ve made a lot of difficult calls, a lot of very difficult decisions in this job. This is not one of them. Frankly, $7 billion for a sporting event, we are not doing that,” he said.

This rationale has resonated with many people, but there is anger about the mess Victoria finds itself in. And there is anger in corners about the premier’s handling of the Games.

Within government, senior figures say there is “relief” that the Games have been axed, amid fears that the government would not have met the 2026 deadline.

But the cost blowouts have thrown the spotlight on the government’s track record of managing major projects — there’s tens of billions of overruns — and the apparent lack of process behind big decisions.

The government began chasing the Games in 2021 and the question now is how did it get the cost estimate so fundamentally wrong.

Senior government sources say that the initial budget failed to account for security and transport and underestimated how much duplicating athlete’s villages would add to the bottom line.

daniel andrews tours ballarat's eureka stadium at announcement of 2026 commonwealth games

Daniel Andrews in Ballarat for the announcement of the 2026 Commonwealth Games. (ABC Ballarat: Lexie Jeuniewic )

Throughout the week the question has been asked: How did we get here?

The opposition began to smell blood during the budget in May when no funding was accounted for in the state or federal budget. There were also warnings from the regions that the Games wouldn’t meet the deadline and would cost too much.

“My concern here, as the alternative premier, is the damage to Victoria’s reputation will be irredeemable if we can’t hold the Commonwealth Games,” Opposition Leader John Pesutto told radio station 3AW at the time.

“We’ll look like a basket case.”

He was on the money.

A man with short hair and dark clothes sits in front of a microphone

Opposition Leader John Pesutto criticised the government and said Jacinta Allan, the minister responsible for managing the Games, should resign. (ABC News)

Seizing on the Commonwealth Games controversy, Mr Pesutto has attacked the secrecy and competency of the government’s decision making.

The events of the week have prompted some Victorians to view the way the Andrews government goes about its business in a fresh light.

The manner in which the premier unceremoniously dumped the Games really added fuel to the raging fire.

The board of the Games were informed during an international zoom call.

“Most people were speechless,” Commonwealth Games Federation (CGF) vice-president Kereyn Smith told 7.30.

“The federation felt quite on the back foot. Really, right from the start.”

Like others at home and abroad she took aim at Andrews’s integrity, the experienced administrator describing the Victorian government’s behaviour as “quite unprecedented.”

“There’s respect and there’s integrity around the process and the communication,” she told 7.30.

Composite image of Daniel Andrews and Kereyn Smith.

The Commonwealth Games Federation will be seeking compensation after the Victorian government announced it would no longer host the 2026 Games. (ABC News/AAP)

“It feels to me like those things have been compromised as part of this process.”

Like many others, Ms Smith has questioned the figures quoted by the premier as the rationale for cancelling the Games.

“The last time there was any conversation at the board table around figures around Victoria, it was getting up towards the $3 billion conversation,” Ms Smith said.

“Certainly that $6 to $7 billion was not something that we had ever heard.”

Her colleagues in Australia were furious that suggestions to save the Games by making alterations fell on deaf ears.

Commonwealth Games Australia chief executive Craig Phillips came down hard on the government, claiming it “wilfully ignored recommendations to move events to Melbourne” and instead “remained wedded” to expensive temporary venues in regional Victoria.

“The velodrome is the best example of that. You have a purpose built velodrome here at John Cain Arena, but we were continuing to prosecute running a Games in a temporary venue in Bendigo that would have no legacy value,” Mr Phillips said.

“These are some of the conversations we had with the government over some months … but [they] didn’t want to hear it.”

Games CEO says Andrews' announcement an 'absolute embarrassment'

Craig Phillips told reporters he was disappointed with the Victorian government.

Over recent months, Jeroen Weimar and his team have been crunching the numbers to try and find a solution. It even examined how much it would cost to move the games to Melbourne, which successfully hosted the Games in 2006.

“Doing it in Melbourne was probably the cheapest option, and it was still well over $4 billion,” Mr Andrews said on Wednesday.

One set of estimates seen by the ABC show a Melbourne Games would cost more than $3.5 billion, including $1.65 billion of operating costs on top of $200 million to put 14,000 people up in hotels for a fortnight, $600 million for temporary infrastructure and $400 million for transport and policing.

Other sports would also receive compensation payments to get out of the way to use venues — $400 million was allocated for displacement costs to sports like the AFL who have a contract to play footy at the MCG.

Even under the plan to run a regional Games, the opening ceremony was slated for the MCG.

The Commonwealth Games wanted the venue for six weeks and the AFL was seeking $51 million in compensation for its contract to get off the home of football.

Senior figures in sports and the events sector are gobsmacked by the $4 billion price tag for a Melbourne Games but are unsurprised by the cost blowouts for a regional Games, although they caution $6 billion may be a stretch.

Victoria comes to the rescue

In 2022, the premier painted his government as the saviour of the embattled Commonwealth Games. No one else wanted it.

Birmingham had stepped in after Durban, in South Africa, was stripped of the 2022 Games because of financial issues.

But it wasn’t that simple. Victoria had sought out the Games as an option, aggressively pursuing the idea in 2021. Far from it being the white knight.

Premier Daniel Andrews purses his lips during a press conference about the Commonwealth Games. The photo is a tight headshot

Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews delivering his decision to cancel the Games. (AAP: James Ross)

It again begs the question. How did it get the numbers so wrong?

At the end of a rollercoaster week, the government remains convinced that it has made the right decision to cancel the Games, despite the backlash from heavy hitters.

The premier’s veneer has been scratched but it’s far from fatal, as one Spring Street insider put it, “the veil has been pulled back.”

Mr Andrews is a man whose leadership has survived bigger controversies. Questions about his behaviour and decision making has once again returned the spotlight especially concerns over “reckless spending”, as even some Labor figures concede.

five politicians stand side by side smiling at ballarat's eureka stadium

Announcing Victoria will host the Commonwealth Games: City of Ballarat mayor Daniel Moloney, Buninyong MP Michaela Settle, Deputy Premier Jacinta Allan, CEO of Victoria 2026 Commonwealth Games Jeroen Weimar, and Wendouree MP Juliana Addison.  (ABC Ballarat: Lexie Jeuniewic )

For supporters of the premier in the public, the week has reinforced that this government is prepared to make tough decisions, even if it could be perceived as being damaging.

But even some of the premier’s more ardent supporters are questioning how the government got itself into this mess in the first place.

Was it hubris? Naivety? Or did the government in 2022 overlook concerns in search of a political policy to sell to regional Victoria?

These are all questions that remain unanswered. And that’s before Victorians get the final bill for not holding the Games.

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Regional Commonwealth Games host cities ‘gutted’ by cancellation

Regional sporting clubs and communities are “gutted” by the Victorian government’s decision to cancel the 2026 Commonwealth Games.

The government had promised to host the 12-day, world-class sporting event in regional Victoria, but Premier Daniel Andrews this morning said a major cost blowout meant he has sought to terminate the contract.

The state government has committed to a $2 billion spending package for regional Victoria to make up for the loss of the Games, which was to act as a boost for facilities in the host centres.

Bendigo Bowls Club president Geoff Briggs said he was very disappointed to hear the Commonwealth Games would not go ahead.

“I felt absolutely gutted. Absolutely deflated,” he said.

“What a kick in the guts this is going to be for lots of communities.

“To have the Games in regional cities, and here in Bendigo, it was so exciting. It was exciting for everybody — for youngsters, for oldies … now it’s a real feeling of disappointment.”

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Mr Briggs understood the club would still have its facilities upgraded but is seeking clarification from the state government

“We’ve spent hundreds of hours on this. We had so many plans put in front of us for the development of the club. There are a lot of unanswered questions,” he said.

Athletes disappointed 

Bendigo cyclist Alessia McCaig represented Australia at the Commonwealth Games in Birmingham last year.

Her home city was set to host the track and para track cycling as part of the 2026 Games.

“I was really looking forward to competing in front of a home crowd and having the opportunity to have a lot my friends and family there watching me,” McCaig said.

Alessia McCaig was looking forward to competing in Games cycling events in front of a home crowd. (ABC Central Victoria: Shannon Schubert)

McCaig said she had also been looking forward to the Commonwealth Games bringing athletes and spectators from around Australia to the Bendigo area for track cycling.

She had written to Deputy Premier Jacinta Allan to advocate for track cycling to be staged in Bendigo.

Cost blowout questions 

The government had previously spruiked the Commonwealth Games as a major economic boost for the regional host cities of Geelong, Ballarat, Bendigo, Shepparton and Gippsland.

Greater Shepparton City Mayor Shane Sali said the decision was “devastating”.

The northern Victorian region helped launch regional Victoria’s bid for the Games in 2017.

shane sali looking at camera

Shepparton Mayor Shane Sali said questions need to be asked about the government’s claims of a cost blow-out. (Supplied: Greater Shepparton City Council )

The mayor said he was taken aback by the scale of the financial woes proposed.

“How does a $2.6 billion project, [after] a year or two, blow out to $6-7 billion? I think that’s the question that needs to be asked,” he told ABC Victoria Statewide Mornings.

Cr Sali said it was imperative that money promised to the regions was still delivered.

Shepparton was slated to host the BMX competition, but was not selected as an athlete hub. 

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