Will travelling by plane ever be carbon neutral? Researchers have their doubts

The “decarbonisation” of air travel has become the driving question of the Paris Air Show, which opened its doors on June 19 outside Paris. Striving to build a game-changing “green plane”, the aviation industry is betting heavily on the development of sustainable fuels. From cooking oil to hydrogen planes, FRANCE 24 breaks down the possible pathways to carbon-neutral air travel – and why some may never make it off the ground.

How can millions of people keep travelling by plane every year without contributing to the climate crisis? That is the question at the heart of this year’s Paris Air Show aeronautical extravaganza which opened near Paris on Monday. Having set an objective of being carbon-neutral by 2050 in line with the Paris Agreement, aviation companies have put forward a number of possible solutions to meet the challenge, from building more sustainable aircraft to finding greener fuels.

For his part, French President Emmanuel Macron showed himself ready to open the state’s coffers. Macron announced a package of €2.2 billion last Friday to help the sector’s flagship companies – Airbus, Safran, Thales and their subcontractors – to find a way to build a game-changing “green plane”.

The stakes are sky-high. 

“The aviation sector represents two to three percent of global CO2 emissions,” explained Isabelle Laplace, specialist in air transport sustainability issues at the National Civil Aviation School in Toulouse. “Add to that other emissions, the effects of which are relatively unknown. For example, condensation trails – those white clouds that form in the wake of planes – which cause a temporary greenhouse effect.”  

And these effects will continue to increase if nothing is done, with the International Air Transport Association projecting that air travel will more than double by 2050.

Lighter aircraft, more efficient engines 

To mitigate the aviation sector’s impact on climate, the first step is to maximise energy efficiency, Laplace explained, noting that work is being done on both the types of engines and the materials used by aircraft. “We’ve been working on this for 50 years. Today, a plane consumes 80 percent less fuel than in the 1970s,” she noted.    

But these technological advances haven’t stopped the sector’s carbon footprint from increasing with the explosion of air travel.

CFM, a joint venture between US conglomerate General Electric and France’s Safran aviation group, has been working on an engine that they hope will reduce fuel consumption by another 20 percent by 2035. But even if such advances were possible, Laplace said this alone “would not allow us to reach carbon neutrality”.

Biofuels, a limited solution 

Beyond technological improvements, the aeronautics industry is focusing on sustainable aviation fuel, or SAF. 

“This is certainly the most readily available solution in the short term,” Laplace said. “Particularly as SAF has the advantage of being usable in the aircraft we have now. There is no need to change the planes’ structure.”

The term SAF covers several different types of fuels. The first are the biofuels, or agrofuels: these would allow a reduction of 80 to 85 percent of greenhouse gas emissions in the aviation sector, according to France’s minister for ecological transition. Traditionally made from wheat, canola, sugar beets or palm oil, the latter is often singled out by environmentalists who say its production causes deforestation, over-cultivation and damaging changes in land use. 

To counter such accusations, aviation companies say they use only “second-generation” biofuels – forestry and agricultural waste products like hay or cooking oil

“But all this is far from solving all the problems,” said Jérôme Du Boucher, aviation specialist for the European NGO Transport & Environment France, which researches solutions for decarbonising travel.

“The companies mostly use second-hand oil because it’s the cheapest solution,” Du Boucher said. “Unfortunately, there is a lack of transparency on the part of the sellers, particularly in Southeast Asia, and it’s suspected that some are fraudulently using palm oil instead, thereby contributing to deforestation.”

There is also the question of available resources. 

“We are not going to triple our consumption of oil or agricultural products to make waste products available for aviation,” Du Boucher said. “To supply the whole sector with fuel, we would have to have enormous volumes of biomass.”

Laplace agrees that biofuels are unlikely to be the answer.

“It seems impossible to me that biofuels will ever be enough to one day power every plane in the sky, especially since demand will certainly continue to increase in parallel across all sectors, notably in the automotive sector,” she said.

Other types of SAF are synthetic fuels, or e-fuels.

“They are made with green hydrogen and carbon monoxide,” Laplace explained. These have the advantage of emitting a lot less CO2 than kerosene, but they emit other pollutants such as nitrogen oxides. 

“This is not a technology that we have mastered yet, except on a small scale and in very small quantities,” she said. “We are only at the experimental stage.”

Despite these challenges, things are speeding up at the European level. At the end of April, the European Parliament agreed on a regulation called ReFuelEU Aviation which dictates that 2 percent of SAF will have to be mixed with the kerosene fuelling the planes in circulation between now and 2025. This number will increase to 6 percent by 2030, 20 percent by 2030, 34 percent by 2040 and will reach 70 percent by 2050.

The El Dorado of hydrogen

Another energy source that is fuelling hopes in the sector is green hydrogen. Airbus has promised to have an aeroplane equipped with a hydrogen engine by 2035. For its part, the small French company Blue Spirit Aero, founded in 2020, unveiled at Bourget its four-seater hydrogen plane, which is supposed to reach a cruising speed of 230km/h.

“Obviously, it seems like a miracle solution, as the plane would emit nothing except water vapour,” Laplace noted. But it has many limitations, she said. 

“Today, green hydrogen manufactured using a decarbonised source of electricity only exists on a small scale. More than 95 percent of this energy still comes from natural gas,” a fossil fuel, she noted. 

“And like with SAF, it raises the question of available resources,” Du Boucher added. “We know that the demand for clean electricity will grow considerably in the coming years. But we can’t install solar panels everywhere at the expense of biodiversity.”

Not to mention the many logistical challenges – unlike SAF, using hydrogen fuel would require renovating aircraft and therefore launching new production lines. 

There must also be a way to store it aboard planes – hydrogen is four times bulkier than kerosene and must be kept at -250°C (-418°F).

Electric short-hauls

The last solution the industry is considering is electricity. French start-up Voltaero, which develops small hybrid planes, presented its first aircraft on Sunday, a five-seater that the company hopes to mass produce by 2025 and which has already received more than 200 pre-orders.

Using only electricity during take-off and landing, the plane is also equipped with a small combustion engine that only turns on once in flight to recharge the plane’s batteries if necessary. They can also be plugged into the mains once the plane is on the ground. 

“It’s a promising aircraft, but one that will be limited to short-haul flights due to the weight of its batteries,” Laplace said. “It’s a solution that could make sense ecologically in certain parts of the world where there are no railways, or in archipelagos, but it is preferable to take a train whenever possible.”

Laplace and Du Boucher say that all of these fuels will likely be used over the next few years, but for different purposes. 

“In the end, the decarbonisation of air travel will only happen through a reduction in air travel overall,” Du Boucher said.

According to a September 2022 study by the French Agency for Ecological Transition, technological innovation in the aviation sector will fall short for one simple reason: it won’t come fast enough. 

The agency has outlined several ways to limit the number of planes in the sky, including capping the number of flights at airports or even introducing a tax on tickets – while noting that just 1 percent of the population is responsible for half of the greenhouse gas emissions from the planes that criss-cross the globe.

This article has been translated from the original in French

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US military shoots down fourth flying object after Great Lakes airspace closure

A US fighter jet shot down an “unidentified object” over Lake Huron on Sunday on orders from President Joe Biden. It was the fourth such downing in eight days and the latest military strike in an extraordinary chain of events over US airspace that Pentagon officials believe has no peacetime precedent.

Part of the reason for the repeated shootdowns is a “heightened alert” following a spy balloon from China that emerged over US airspace in late January, Gen. Glen VanHerck, head of NORAD and US Northern Command, said in a briefing with reporters.

Since then, fighter jets last week also shot down objects over Canada and Alaska. Pentagon officials said they posed no security threats, but so little was known about them that Pentagon officials were ruling nothing out — not even UFOs.

“We have been more closely scrutinising our airspace at these altitudes, including enhancing our radar, which may at least partly explain the increase,” said Melissa Dalton, assistant defence secretary for homeland defence.


 

US authorities have made clear that they constantly monitor for unknown radar blips, and it is not unusual to shut down airspace as a precaution to evaluate them.

But the unusually assertive response was raising questions about whether such use of force was warranted, particularly as administration officials said the objects were not of great national security concern and the downings were just out of caution.

VanHerck said the US adjusted its radar so it could track slower objects. “With some adjustments, we’ve been able to get a better categorization of radar tracks now,” he said, “and that’s why I think you’re seeing these, plus there’s a heightened alert to look for this information.”

He added: “I believe this is the first time within United States or American airspace that NORAD or United States Northern Command has taken kinetic action against an airborne object.”

Asked if officials have ruled out extraterrestrials, VanHerck said, “I haven’t ruled out anything at this point.”


The Pentagon officials said they were still trying to determine what exactly the objects were and said they had considered using the jets’ guns instead of missiles, but it proved to be too difficult. They drew a strong distinction between the three shot down over this weekend and the balloon from China.

Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz tweeted that airmen in the 148th Fighter Wing, an Air National Guard fighter unit in Duluth, shot down the object over Lake Huron.

The extraordinary air defense activity began in late January, when a white orb the officials said was from China appeared over the US and hovered above the nation for days before fighter jets downed it off the coast of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.

That event played out over livestream. Many Americans have been captivated by the drama playing out in the skies as fighter jets scramble to shoot down objects.

The latest brought down was first detected on Saturday evening over Montana, but it was initially thought to be an anomaly. Radar picked it up again Sunday hovering over the Upper Peninsula of Michigan and it was going over Lake Huron, Pentagon officials said Sunday.

US and Canadian authorities had restricted some airspace over the lake earlier Sunday as planes were scrambled to intercept and try to identify the object. According to a senior administration official, the object was octagonal, with strings hanging off, but had no discernable payload.

It was flying low at about 20,000 feet, said the official who spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive matters.

Meanwhile, US officials were still trying to precisely identify two other objects shot down by F-22 fighter jets, and were working to determine whether China was responsible as concerns escalated about what Washington said was Beijing’s large-scale aerial surveillance program.

An object shot down Saturday over Canada’s Yukon was described by US officials as a balloon significantly smaller than the balloon — the size of three school buses — hit by a missile Feb. 4. A flying object brought down over the remote northern coast of Alaska on Friday, was more cylindrical and described as a type of airship.

Both were believed to have a payload, either attached or suspended from them, according to the officials who spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity to discuss the ongoing investigation. Officials were not able to say who launched the objects and were seeking to figure out their origin.

The three objects were much smaller in size, different in appearance and flew at lower altitudes than the suspected spy balloon that fell into the Atlantic Ocean after the US missile strike.

The officials said the other three objects were not consistent with the fleet of Chinese aerial surveillance balloons that targeted more than 40 countries, stretching back at least into the Trump administration.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer told ABC’s “This Week” that US officials were working quickly to recover debris. Using shorthand to describe the objects as balloons, he said US military and intelligence officials were “focused like a laser” on gathering and accumulating the information, then compiling a comprehensive analysis.

“The bottom line is until a few months ago we didn’t know about these balloons,” Schumer, D-NY, said of the spy program that the administration has linked to the People’s Liberation Army, China’s military. “It is wild that we didn’t know.”

Eight days ago, F-22 jets downed the large white balloon that had wafted over the US for days at an altitude of about 60,000 feet. US officials immediately blamed China, saying the balloon was equipped to detect and collect intelligence signals and could maneuver itself. White House officials said improved surveillance capabilities helped detect it.

China’s Foreign Ministry said the unmanned balloon was a civilian meteorological airship that had blown off course. Beijing said the US had “overreacted” by shooting it down.

Then, on Friday, North American Aerospace Defense Command, the combined US-Canada organization that provides shared defense of airspace over the two nations, detected and shot down an object near sparsely populated Deadhorse, Alaska.

Later that evening, NORAD detected a second object, flying at a high altitude over Alaska, US officials said. It crossed into Canadian airspace on Saturday and was over the Yukon, a remote territory, when it was ordered shot down by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

In both of those incidents, the objects were flying at roughly 40,000 feet. The object on Sunday was flying at 20,000 feet.

The cases have increased diplomatic tensions between the United States and China, raised questions about the extent of Beijing’s American surveillance, and prompted days of criticism from Republican lawmakers about the administration’s response.

(AP)



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