S&P 500, Dow Jones Hit All-Time Highs Again; Tech Stocks Back in the Spotlight

KEY

TAKEAWAYS

  • The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq 100 closed at all-time highs
  • Tech stocks are back in focus as mega-tech companies wrap up their Q4 earnings
  • Investors should take advantage of pullbacks if they want to add positions to their portfolios

What a week! Mega-cap tech stocks, the Fed meeting, and January’s nonfarm payrolls made headlines this week, creating an exhilarating week for investors. Friday’s stock market price action was an unexpected, but optimistic end to the trading week.

Jobs, Jobs, Jobs

The January jobs report came in way better than expected, and you’d think that would lead to a selloff after Fed Chairman Powell’s comments on Wednesday. Yet investor optimism prevailed, and the broader stock market indices closed higher, with the S&P 500 ($SPX), Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU), and Nasdaq 100 ($NDX) closing at an all-time high. It’s beginning to sound like a broken record, almost as if the stock market is waiting for the Nasdaq Composite to catch up and notch a new record high.

The blowout jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the US economy added 353,000 jobs, well above the 185,000 estimate. The unemployment rate was 3.7%, slightly lower than the expected 3.8%. Wage growth also rose.

Thus, a combination of more jobs and higher wages buries even the slightest probability of a March rate cut. May is still a ways away, and plenty of data will come out before then, but it would be surprising if anything moves the needle enough to warrant a rate cut in March.

A strong labor market is great for the economy. The question is whether it aligns with what the FOMC wants to see—a rebalancing of the labor market. It’s possible that a rebalance between supply and demand of jobs will occur, given that hours worked per week fell to 34.1. If that continues to fall, and companies start cutting jobs, that would indicate a rebalancing. Another data point to focus on is the number of people working or available for work. If that also declines, it would be further confirmation that the supply and demand forces of the labor market are coming more into equilibrium. But we won’t know that for a while, and investors seem to have shifted their focus to the present.

Tech Stocks Back In Focus

The stock market didn’t seem worried about the stellar jobs report, and Chairman Powell’s comments are now in the rearview mirror. The broader market indices closed higher, with big tech stocks in the spotlight. Earnings from Alphabet (GOOGL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), and Meta Platforms (META) were mixed, but that didn’t stop tech stocks from being the stars at the tail end of the trading week. AI is still the buzzword that fuels this market.

Consumer demand is strong, as reflected by Amazon’s earnings on Thursday. And META, which reported strong Q4 earnings and positive Q1 guidance, soared after Thursday’s close. But that wasn’t all; META will be issuing a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share for the first time. This news boosted the stock price higher, and META closed at $474.99 per share, up 20.32%, hitting an all-time high. That’s a $197 billion addition to its market cap.

CHART 1. META STOCK SOARS ON EARNINGS AND DIVIDENDS. Meta notches an all-time high on strong earnings, guidance, and news of dividends to shareholders.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

One area of the market that struggles to keep up with the broad indices is small caps. Small-cap stocks tend to perform better in a lower interest rate environment, and since rate cuts aren’t on the Fed’s radar at the moment, the S&P 600 Small Cap Index ($SML) was one of the few reds in the Market Overview panel in the StockCharts dashboard.

Speaking of interest rates, the  10-year US Treasury yield chart paints a good picture (see below). The 10-year yield is back above 4% after sharply falling and hitting a low of 3.817%.

CHART 2. 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD SPIKES. The strong January jobs report sent the benchmark 10-year US Treasury Yield Index spiking. In spite of the big jump, the yield closed lower for the week.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Today’s move in yields didn’t help bond prices. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) was down 2.21%.

The Bottom Line

Overall, 2024 has started positively, which is good for stocks. Hearing some of the takeaways from the Fed speeches next week will be interesting. After this week’s performance, maybe the market won’t be impacted by rate cut delays. This stock market just keeps going and going; if delaying rate cuts isn’t going to stop it, what will?

Next week is another week. If you’re considering adding positions to your portfolio, take advantage of any pullbacks while the market trends higher. Only if there’s a drastic turn of events should you think otherwise.

End-of-Week Wrap-Up

  • S&P 500 closes up 1.07% at 4,958.61, Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.35% at 38,654.42; Nasdaq Composite up 1.74% at 15,628.95
  • $VIX down 0.22% at 13.85
  • Best performing sector for the week: Consumer Discretionary
  • Worst performing sector for the week: Energy
  • Top 5 Large Cap SCTR stocks: Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI); Affirm Holdings (AFRM); CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD); Veritiv Holdings, LLC (VRT); Nutanix Inc. (NTNX)

On the Radar Next Week

  • Earnings week continues with Walt Disney Co. (DIS), Gilead Sciences (GILD), Alibaba Group Holding (BABA), Eli Lilly (LLY), and Snap Inc. (SNAP) reporting.
  • January PMI and ISM
  • Fed speeches
  • November S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price
  • Fed Interest Rate Decision

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan

About the author:
Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan is Director of Site Content at StockCharts.com. She spends her time coming up with content strategies, delivering content to educate traders and investors, and finding ways to make technical analysis fun. Jayanthi was Managing Editor at T3 Custom, a content marketing agency for financial brands. Prior to that, she was Managing Editor of Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine for 15+ years.
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Stock Market on Its Way to Highs: Will Tech Earnings be the Catalyst?

KEY

TAKEAWAYS

  • Earnings results from Big Tech stocks MSFT, META, GOOGL on deck
  • Strong earnings could push the Nasdaq 100 index to new highs
  • Investors will be listening to what the Fed has to say about inflation

The next couple of weeks should prove to be an exciting time for the stock market. Technology stocks will be dominating the earnings calendar, with Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms (META) reporting on the week of July 24. Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) will report the following week. Given that tech stocks have driven the broad market rally, a lot is riding on their earnings. If earnings come in strong, the upside momentum could continue, but any sign of weakness, either from the numbers or guidance, could result in a pullback in the stock market.


Stay on top of earnings season by visiting the StockCharts Earnings Calendar. From Your Dashboard or Charts & Tools, scroll down to the Summary Pages and click on Earnings Calendar. Click on Upcoming Earnings and see which companies are reporting earnings.


A Technical Look at the Nasdaq 100 Index

Let’s take a look at the weekly chart of the Nasdaq 100 index ($NDX). The index has gone up almost 50% in 2023 so far. The chart below shows that $NDX has broken through most resistance levels and is on its way to its all-time high. The September 2021 high is the last resistance level the index has to push through; next week’s earnings report could be the deciding factor.

CHART 1: WEEKLY CHART OF NASDAQ 100 INDEX ($NDX). The index has bounced off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Will it push through its September 2021 high and reach a new high?Chart source: StockCharts.com (click chart for live version). For educational purposes.

Looking at the Fibonacci retracement levels from the 2020 low to the 2021 high, you can see that $NDX bounced off the 61.8% retracement level. For the most part, the various Fib retracement levels have acted as support and resistance levels during the upward move. Now it’s almost at its high. So will $NDX reach a new high in 2023?

If you look at the daily chart, $NDX has stayed above its 21-day exponential moving average (EMA) since mid-March 2023, except for a couple of times when it briefly dipped below it. If earnings from the Tech companies aren’t so great, then we could see a repeat of the counter trend move after Tesla (TSLA), Netflix (NFLX), and Taiwan Semiconductors (TSM) reported earnings. If $NDX falls below its 21-day EMA, you can expect a significant pullback in Tech stocks. But if earnings come in strong and the 21-day EMA holds, be ready for more upside.

CHART 2: DAILY CHART OF THE NASDAQ 100 INDEX. The 21-day EMA could act as a first support level, and if the index falls below it, expect a significant pullback. But if earnings come in strong, then there could be further upside.Chart source: StockCharts.com (click chart for live version). For educational purposes.

Looking at the Year-to-Date PerfChart of the five Big Tech stocks reporting earnings, META is the clear winner and GOOGL is the laggard.

CHART 3: PERFCHART OF MSFT, GOOGL, META, AMZN, AND AAPL. META is the clear winner in the group.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

If you look at the price charts of all five stocks using the layout feature in StockChartsACP (see below), you can see that META and AMZN are struggling to hold on to the support of the 21-day EMA, AAPL and MSFT are hanging on above their 21-day EMA, and GOOGL is trading below its 21-day EMA and 50-day simple moving average (SMA).

CHART 4: COMPARING META, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, AND AAPL. The 21-day EMA is an important support level for these stocks. A close below that level could mean further pullbacks ahead.Chart source: StockChartsACP. For educational purposes.

Since Tech stocks have seen a significant rise in their value, it’s possible they may be overvalued. But with AI in the picture, it could mean more upside moves, especially if the integration of AI works in their favor.

Then There’s the Fed

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there’s a 98.9% chance the Fed will raise interest rates by 25 basis points on July 26. Core inflation still has to drop by more than two percentage points to reach the 2% goal the Fed is trying to achieve. When Fed Chairman Jerome Powell takes the podium on Wednesday, investors will be eager to hear if past interest rate hikes have weaved into the economy, and what it would take to reach the 2% inflation goal.

Final Thoughts

There’s a lot to focus on next week—earnings and interest rates. Will Tech stocks propel the equity market higher despite economic uncertainties? It’ll be a week you don’t want to miss.



End of Week Wrap Up

US equity indexes mixed; volatility down

  • $SPX up 0.03% at 4536.32, $INDU up 0.01% at 35228.48; $COMPQ down 0.22% at 14032.81
  • $VIX down 2.64% at 13.62
  • Best performing sector for the week: Energy
  • Worst performing sector for the week: Communication Services
  • Top 5 Large Cap SCTR stocks: Super Micro Computer (SMCI), NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA), Palantir Technologies (PLTR), DraftKings (DKNG), Coinbase Global (COIN)

On the Radar Next Week

  • Big Tech Earnings. Some companies reporting next week: Meta Platforms (META), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOGL). Other companies reporting include Verizon (VZ) Coca-Cola (KO), AT&T (T), Boeing (BA), McDonalds (MCD), Chipotle (CMG), Ford (F), and many more.
  • June New Home Sales
  • Fed Interest Rate Decision
  • Fed Press Conference

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan

About the author:
Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan is Director of Site Content at StockCharts.com. She spends her time coming up with content strategies, delivering content to educate traders and investors, and finding ways to make technical analysis fun. Jayanthi was Managing Editor at T3 Custom, a content marketing agency for financial brands. Prior to that, she was Managing Editor of Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine for 15+ years.
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Fed raises key rate but hints it may pause amid bank turmoil

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference in Washington, Wednesday, May 3, 2023, following the Federal Open Market Committee meeting.
| Photo Credit: AP

The Federal Reserve reinforced its fight against high inflation Wednesday by raising its key interest rate by a quarter-point to the highest level in 16 years. But the Fed also signalled that it may now pause its streak of 10 rate hikes, which have made borrowing for consumers and businesses steadily more expensive.

In a statement after its latest policy meeting, the Fed removed a sentence from its previous statement that had said “some additional” rate hikes might be needed. It replaced it with language that said it will consider a range of factors in “determining the extent” to which future hikes might be needed.

Speaking at a news conference, Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed has yet to decide whether to suspend its rate hikes. But he pointed to the change in the statement’s language as confirming at least that possibility. Powell said the Fed would continue to monitor the latest economic data in deciding whether to pause its hikes.

Also read | Treasury’s Yellen says U.S. could hit debt ceiling as soon as June 1

The Fed’s rate increases since March 2022 have more than doubled mortgage rates, elevated the costs of auto loans, credit card borrowing and business loans and heightened the risk of a recession. Home sales have plunged as a result. The Fed’s latest move, which raised its benchmark rate to roughly 5.1%, could further increase borrowing costs.

Still, the Fed’s statement Wednesday offered little indication that its string of rate hikes have made significant progress toward its goal of cooling the economy, the job market and inflation. Inflation has fallen from a peak of 9.1% in June to 5% in March but remains well above the Fed’s 2% target rate.

“Inflation pressures continue to run high, and the process of getting getting inflation back down to 2% has a long way to go,” Mr. Powell said.

The surge in rates has contributed to the collapse of three large banks and turmoil in the banking industry. All three failed banks had bought long-term bonds that paid low rates and then rapidly lost value as the Fed sent rates higher.

The banking upheaval might have played a role in the Fed’s decision Wednesday to consider a pause. Powell had said in March that a cutback in lending by banks, to shore up their finances, could act as the equivalent of a quarter-point rate hike in slowing the economy.

At his news conference, Mr. Powell said he believed conditions in the industry have improved since early March and that “the U.S. banking sector is sound and resilient.” At the same time, he acknowledged that “the strains that emerged in the banking sector in early March appear to be resulting in even tighter credit conditions for households and businesses.” Fed economists have estimated that tighter credit resulting from the bank failures will contribute to a “mild recession” later this year, thereby raising the pressure on the central bank to suspend its rate hikes.

The Fed is now also grappling with a standoff around the nation’s borrowing limit, which caps how much debt the government can issue. Congressional Republicans are demanding steep spending cuts as the price of agreeing to lift the nation’s borrowing cap.

The Fed’s decision Wednesday came against an increasingly cloudy backdrop. The economy appears to be cooling, with consumer spending flat in February and March, indicating that many shoppers have grown cautious in the face of higher prices and borrowing costs. Manufacturing, too, is weakening.

Even the surprisingly resilient job market, which has kept the unemployment rate near 50-year lows for months, is showing cracks. Hiring has decelerated, job postings have declined and fewer people are quitting jobs for other, typically higher-paying positions.

The turmoil in the nation’s banking sector, which re-erupted last weekend as regulators seized and sold off First Republic Bank, has intensified the pressure on the economy. It was the second-largest U.S. bank failure ever and the third major banking collapse in the past six weeks. Investors have grown anxious about whether other regional banks may suffer from similar problems.

Goldman Sachs estimates that a widespread pullback in bank lending could cut U.S. growth by 0.4 percentage point this year. That could be enough to cause a recession. In December, the Fed projected growth of just 0.5% in 2023.

Wall Street traders were also unnerved by this week’s announcement from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen that the nation could default on its debt as soon as June 1 unless Congress agrees to lift the debt limit, which caps how much the government can borrow. A first-ever default on the U.S. debt could potentially lead to a global financial crisis.

The Fed’s rate hike Wednesday comes as other major central banks are also tightening credit. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is expected to announce another interest rate increase Thursday, after inflation figures released Tuesday showed that price increases ticked up last month.

Consumer prices rose 7% in the 20 countries that use the euro currency in April from a year earlier, up from a 6.9% year-over-year increase in March.

In the United States, some major drivers of higher prices have stalled or started to reverse, causing slowdowns in overall inflation. The consumer price index rose 5% in March from a year earlier, sharply lower than its 9.1% peak in June.

The rise in rental costs has eased as more newly built apartments have come online. Gas and energy prices have fallen steadily. Food costs are moderating. Supply chain snarls are no longer blocking trade, thereby lowering the cost for new and used cars, furniture and appliances.

Still, while overall inflation has cooled, “core” inflation — which excludes volatile food and energy costs — has remained chronically high. According to the Fed’s preferred measure, core prices rose 4.6% in March from a year earlier, scarcely better than the 4.7% it reached in July.

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Elizabeth Warren Said This Bank F*ckbungle Would Happen, Maybe Let’s Listen To Her This Time?

With the weekend’s failure of two big banks — Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank — America is once again vaguely aware that banking regulations have an actual effect on the economy, and, to a lesser degree, that money is imaginary anyway, just a collective agreement about numbers and who has piled them up in particular ways. So here’s Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Massachusetts) in the New York Times yesterday, to remind us that the failure of both banks probably could have been prevented if Donald Trump and congressional Republicans — with the aid of more Democrats than there should have been, which would have been “zero” — hadn’t rolled back significant parts of the Dodd-Frank banking regulations in 2018.

Remember how we had that huge financial crisis in 2008, and then Congress actually did something to prevent another one? Elizabeth Warren does!

In the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, Congress passed the Dodd-Frank Act to protect consumers and ensure that big banks could never again take down the economy and destroy millions of lives. Wall Street chief executives and their armies of lawyers and lobbyists hated this law. They spent millions trying to defeat it, and, when they lost, spent millions more trying to weaken it.

As Warren points out, one of the bankers insisting that Dodd-Frank was too strict was Greg Becker, CEO of Silicon Valley Bank, who along with others in the industry argued that great big banks like SVB weren’t actually big enough to need rigorous oversight by the Federal Reserve, which they said was holding them back from doing great things for America.

And hey, for a while there, SVB was flying pretty high, becoming a top funder of tech startups and racking up a 40 percent increase in profits in the last three years. And everything would have been great if it weren’t for the tiny problem that SVB plowed most of its capital into long-term federal bonds, which are a great investment as long as you don’t need access to those funds to cover a little panic among depositors when interest rates go up. And as Warren points out, mostly having tech companies as customers also made SVB vulnerable to any wobble in the tech sector. (Same for Signature, which served a lot of crypto companies.) Oopsie!


Warren explains,

Had Congress and the Federal Reserve not rolled back the stricter oversight, S.V.B. and Signature would have been subject to stronger liquidity and capital requirements to withstand financial shocks. They would have been required to conduct regular stress tests to expose their vulnerabilities and shore up their businesses. But because those requirements were repealed, when an old-fashioned bank run hit S.V.B., the bank couldn’t withstand the pressure — and Signature’s collapse was close behind.

On Sunday night, regulators announced they would ensure that all deposits at S.V.B. and Signature would be repaid 100 cents on the dollar. Not just small businesses and nonprofits, but also billion-dollar companies, crypto investors and the very venture capital firms that triggered the bank run on S.V.B. in the first place — all in the name of preventing further contagion.

Hooray for the small businesses and others (as well as their employees) who might have been wiped out if the FDIC hadn’t stepped in to cover losses beyond that normal $250,000 limit on FDIC-insured accounts. But was it really necessary to make whole the very largest depositors? Warren notes that, yes, the idea is to cover all the depositors from both banks using bank funds from the pool the FDIC uses to insure against bank failures. But she adds that it’s hardly surprising that Americans “are skeptical of a system that holds millions of struggling student loan borrowers in limbo but steps in overnight to ensure that billion-dollar crypto firms won’t lose a dime in deposits.”

Well yes, that is certainly a thought-provoking comparison. Say, what was Wonkette saying about all this in 2018? It was so long ago, we barely remember (Wayne and Garth make go “doodley-oo, doodly-oo” while waving their fingers) …

Oh look! We were block-quoting a warning from Cassandra Elizabeth Warren:

“On the 10th anniversary of an enormous financial crash, Congress should not be passing laws to roll back regulations on Wall Street banks,” Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) said in an interview. “The bill permits about 25 of the 40 largest banks in America to escape heightened scrutiny and to be regulated as if they were tiny little community banks that could have no impact on the economy.”

The new regulations passed in 2018 allowed all but the very biggest banks — those with assets of over $250 billion — to avoid the liquidity requirements and stress tests (Dodd-Frank had set the “too big to fail” bar at $50 billion). Even before the 2018 bank bill passed, we noted, several banks subjected to Federal Reserve scrutiny “have already been found to have been taking supposedly prohibited risks with investors’ money.”

Well gosh, it turns out that if you leave big banks to their own devices, they get up to mischief in pursuit of profits. Who could have predicted such a thing?

In her op-ed, Warren calls for the 2018 deregulation to be reversed by “Congress, the White House and banking regulators,” at a minimum. Rep. Katie Porter (D-California), who’s running for the Senate in 2024, is already working on a bill to do that, and President Joe Biden has also called for the regulations to be tightened.

But beyond that, Warren adds,

Bank regulators must also take a careful look under the hood at our financial institutions to see where other dangers may be lurking. Elected officials, including the Senate Republicans who, just days before S.V.B.’s collapse, pressed Mr. Powell to stave off higher capital standards, must now demand stronger — not weaker — oversight.

In addition, she says regulators should make changes to how deposit insurance works,

so that both during this crisis and in the future, businesses that are trying to make payroll and otherwise conduct ordinary financial transactions are fully covered — while ensuring the cost of protecting outsized depositors is borne by those financial institutions that pose the greatest risk.

We could certainly get behind that. And finally, says Warren, for Crom’s sake the people responsible for these failures should be kept from being rewarded, not simply by refusing to bail out the investors, but also by clawing back the big bonuses paid to the executives who drove both banks into the ditch. Beyond that, she adds,

Where needed, Congress should empower regulators to recover pay and bonuses. Prosecutors and regulators should investigate whether any executives engaged in insider trading or broke other civil or criminal laws.

But wouldn’t that be socialism? If you punish banking executives for making the occasional irresponsible bet, aren’t you really just coming after the ordinary small businessperson who won’t have the chance to be trickled down upon? Besides, as Rep. Nancy Mace (R-South Carolina) tweeted yesterday in reply to Warren, is a bank failure any time to be talking about politics? There certainly wasn’t anything political about rolling back Dodd-Frank to please Wall Street in 2018, so why get all political now?

Best to offer the banks our thoughts, prayers, and bailout money and save the blame for … oh, how about the gays?

[NYT / NBC News]

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US government takes steps to prevent potential banking crisis

The US government took extraordinary steps Sunday to stop a potential banking crisis after the historic failure of Silicon Valley Bank, assuring all depositors at the failed institution that they could access all their money quickly, even as another major bank was shut down.

The announcement came amid fears that the factors that caused the Santa Clara, California-based bank to fail could spread.

Regulators had worked all weekend to try to find a buyer for the bank, which was the second-largest bank failure in history. Those efforts appeared to have failed Sunday.

In a sign of how fast the financial bleeding was occurring, regulators announced that New York-based Signature Bank had also failed and was being seized on Sunday. At more than $110 billion in assets, Signature Bank is the third-largest bank failure in US history.

The near-financial crisis that US regulators had to intervene to prevent left Asian markets jittery as trading began Monday. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 slipped about 1.2% in morning trading. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 shed 0.6% to 7,104.30. South Korea’s Kospi, though, was little changed.

In an effort to shore up confidence in the banking system, the Treasury Department, Federal Reserve and FDIC said Sunday that all Silicon Valley Bank clients would be protected and able to access their money. They also announced steps that are intended to protect the bank’s customers and prevent additional bank runs.

“This step will ensure that the US banking system continues to perform its vital roles of protecting deposits and providing access to credit to households and businesses in a manner that promotes strong and sustainable economic growth,” the agencies said in a joint statement.

Under the plan, depositors at Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, including those whose holdings exceed the $250,000 insurance limit, will be able to access their money on Monday.

In a separate move, the Federal Reserve late Sunday announced an expansive emergency lending program that’s intended to prevent a wave of bank runs that would threaten the stability of the banking system and the economy as a whole.

Fed officials characterised the program as akin to what central banks have done for many decades: Lend freely to the banking system so that customers would be confident that they could access their accounts whenever needed.

The lending facility will allow banks that need to raise cash to pay depositors to borrow that money from the Fed, rather than having to sell Treasuries and other securities to raise the money.

Silicon Valley Bank had been forced to dump some of its Treasuries at at a loss to fund its customers’ withdrawals. Under the Fed’s new program, banks can post those securities as collateral and borrow from the emergency facility.

The Treasury has set aside $25 billion to offset any losses incurred under the Fed’s emergency lending facility. Fed officials said, however, that they do not expect to have to use any of that money, given that the securities posted as collateral have a very low risk of default.

Analysts said the Fed’s program should be enough to calm financial markets on Monday.

“Monday will surely be a stressful day for many in the regional banking sector, but today’s action dramatically reduces the risk of further contagion,” economists at Jefferies, an investment bank, said in a research note.

Though Sunday’s steps marked the most extensive government intervention in the banking system since the 2008 financial crisis, its actions are relatively limited compared with what was done 15 years ago. The two failed banks themselves have not been rescued, and taxpayer money has not been provided to the banks.

President Joe Biden said Sunday evening as he boarded Air Force One back to Washington that he would speak about the bank situation on Monday. In a statement, Biden also said he was “firmly committed to holding those responsible for this mess fully accountable and to continuing our efforts to strengthen oversight and regulation of larger banks so that we are not in this position again.”

Regulators had to rush to close Silicon Valley Bank, a financial institution with more than $200 billion in assets, on Friday when it experienced a traditional run on the bank where depositors rushed to withdraw their funds all at once. It is the second-largest bank failure in US history, behind only the 2008 failure of Washington Mutual.

Some prominent Silicon Valley executives feared that if Washington didn’t rescue the failed bank, customers would make runs on other financial institutions in the coming days. Stock prices plunged over the last few days at other banks that cater to technology companies, including First Republic Bank and PacWest Bank.

Among the bank’s customers are a range of companies from California’s wine industry, where many wineries rely on Silicon Valley Bank for loans, and technology startups devoted to combating climate change.

Sunrun, which sells and leases solar energy systems, had less than $80 million of cash deposits with Silicon Valley. Stitchfix, the popular clothing retail website, disclosed in a recent quarterly report that it had a credit line of up to $100 million with Silicon Valley Bank and other lenders.

Tiffany Dufu, founder and CEO of The Cru, a New York-based career coaching platform and community for women, posted a video Sunday on LinkedIn from an airport bathroom, saying the bank crisis was testing her resiliency.

Given that her money was tied up at Silicon Valley Bank, she had to pay her employees out of her personal bank account. With two teenagers to support who will be heading to college, she said she was relieved to hear that the government’s intent is to make depositors whole.

“Small businesses and early-stage startups don’t have a lot of access to leverage in a situation like this, and we’re often in a very vulnerable position, particularly when we have to fight so hard to get the wires into your bank account to begin with, particularly for me, as a Black female founder,” Dufu told The Associated Press.

Silicon Valley Bank began its slide into insolvency when its customers, largely technology companies that needed cash as they struggled to get financing, started withdrawing their deposits. The bank had to sell bonds at a loss to cover the withdrawals, leading to the largest failure of a US financial institution since the height of the financial crisis.

Yellen described rising interest rates, which have been increased by the Federal Reserve to combat inflation, as the core problem for Silicon Valley Bank. Many of its assets, such as bonds or mortgage-backed securities, lost market value as rates climbed.

Sheila Bair, who was chairwoman of the FDIC chair during the 2008 financial crisis, recalled that with almost all the bank failures during that time, “we sold a failed bank to a healthy bank. And usually, the healthy acquirer would also cover the uninsured because they wanted the franchise value of those large depositors so optimally, that’s the best outcome.”

But with Silicon Valley Bank, she told NBC’s “Meet the Press,” “this was a liquidity failure, it was a bank run, so they didn’t have time to prepare to market the bank. So they’re having to do that now, and playing catch-up.”

(AP)

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